Social Unrest Disrupting Energy Sector, The Cipher Brief [Opens in new tab]


Geoff D. Porter discusses social unrest and "resource regionalism" in North Africa in the Cipher Brief.

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ISIS Gaining Ground in Libya, OutFront, CNN [Opens in new tab]


Gideon Rose (editor of Foreign Affairs) and Geoff D. Porter discuss the growing Islamic State threat in Libya with Erin Burnett on OutFront.

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Libya: A new Frontier in the Fight Against ISIS, WNYC The Takeaway [Opens in new tab]


The Islamic State's beheading of 21 Egyptian Christians in Libya on Sunday shocked the world with its brutality, and opened up a new frontier in the fight against the militant group. Still images from the video of the beheading circulated around the globe, showing a row of prisoners in orange jumpsuits, each with a jihadi executioner standing behind.

Geoff D. Porter, founder of North Africa Risk Consulting and assistant professor with the Combating Terrorism Center at West Point, says that this imagery plays on images of U.S. detainees in CIA black sites, Abu Ghraib, and Guantánamo Bay.

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Keeping an Eye on Algeria, The New York Times [Opens in new tab]


Despite the fact that he is running for re-election to his fourth term on April 17, Mr. Bouteflika has been seen in public infrequently over the last 12 months. Most of these instances are video snippets. One shows him in a dressing gown in a Paris hospital, where he was treated for a stroke, meeting with his prime minister and army chief of staff. Another shows him riding in his motorcade in Algiers, his rigid right arm upraised in an awkward attempt at a wave. In only half of the videos does he speak.

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Stopping a Civil War in Libya, Politico [Opens in new tab]


Remember Libya? For five days last week, it looked like the country was headed for civil war. Ibrahim al-Jadhran, the leader of a Libyan militia that has maintained an eight-month blockade of country’s largest oil terminals, had pulled a fast one on the weak central government in Tripoli. With his go-ahead, a tanker of uncertain origin and ownership docked at the port of Es-Sidr, in eastern Libya, on March 10 and loaded a cargo of crude valued at $36 million.

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The Future Role of US Counterterrorism Operations in Africa, The CTC Sentinel [Opens in new tab]


In his state of the union on January 28, 2014, President Barack Obama's speech focused on domestic issues, but singled out Africa, specifically mentioning Somalia and Mali, in reference to the evolution of the al-Qaida threat, the emergence of al-Qaida affiliates and the need for the United States to continue to work with partners to disrupt and disable these networks.

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The Troubled State of Libya [Opens in new tab]


The dramatic abduction of Libyan Prime Minister Zeidan by gunmen last week shows that chaos still reigns in the country. Geoff Porter, head of North Africa Risk consulting, explains how Libya is driving regional instability. He suggests that Europe may have to do more to help the country, as the Obama administration puts Libya on the back burner.

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The New Resource Regionalism in North Africa and the Sahara, Les Dossiers du CERI [Opens in new tab]


At the beginning of June 2013, Libyan hydrocarbons production plummeted. Prior to June, the country’s hydrocarbon sector was a post-revolutionary success story. During the 17 February Revolution against the regime of Colonel Muammar Qadhafi, oil production ceased entirely. From February to March 2011 production went from approximately 1.5 million barrels per day (mbpd) to zero barrels. However, after Tripoli fell in September 2011 and the transitional government was stood up, production almost immediately rebounded. It went from 0mbpd in December 2011 to 900,000bpd in January 2012 and then continued to push upwards, finally peaking and leveling off at slightly more than 1.5mbpd. The recovery of the sector was remarkable, but it was also critical: prior to the revolution oil exports accounted for more than 95% of Libya’s hard currency receipts and almost the entirety of the country’s GDP.

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Why Algeria did not Distinguish between Algerians and Expatriates at In Amenas, Huffington Post [Opens in new tab]


At a vibrant and bustling French restaurant high above the Bay of Algiers in 2005, a loud crash sent my Algerian friends diving for cover under the table. Diners at other tables all did the same, leaving me sitting upright and alone. When it became clear that a waiter had dropped a serving tray stacked with dishes, everyone reemerged laughing. My friends joked that I was too slow. Had it been the 1990s, it would have been a terrorist bomb and I would have been dead. Gallows humor to ease the trauma of Algeria's "Dark Decade" when it fought an Islamist insurgency. There has never been an official count, but estimates are that 150,000 to 200,000 people died during the ten year conflict, many of them in terrorist attacks targeting public places, just like the French restaurant where we were having dinner.

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Algeria Attack a Wake-Up Call for Energy Companies, NPR Morning Edition [Opens in new tab]


A week has passed since the terrorist attack on a natural gas facility in Algeria, but risk analysts and security experts are still undecided about the incident's likely impact in the energy world.

The price of oil, a good indicator of anxiety in the energy market, went up modestly right after the attack, but then it stabilized. No energy company has suspended operations in Algeria, nor has any company announced it will hold off on future investments in North Africa, a key source of oil and gas supplies.

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