Know North Africa

Algeria • Libya • Morocco • Mauritania • Tunisia

 

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About North Africa Risk Consulting

North Africa Risk Consulting Inc. is the political risk consultancy specializing exclusively in North Africa & the Sahara. NARCO helps firms navigate Maghreb markets. Ongoing events in North Africa and the Sahara have heightened the need to understand political circumstances, their trajectories and implications for the commercial environment. Learn more about North Africa Risk Consulting.

NARCO ANALYSIS: Algeria and Mauritania: Abdelazizan, 8 terms, & 40 years

2018/09/20

Algeria and Mauritania are on the cusps of 2019 presidential elections. And the likely outcome will be a combined eight terms and forty years for the incumbents. In Algeria, pieces are being prepositioned for President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to run for a fifth consecutive five-year presidential term. In Mauritania, President Mohamed Ould Abdelaziz is lining up for a third consecutive five-year term. And the Abdelazizan have each other’s back. But their paths to staying in office differ considerably.

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NARCO ANALYSIS: Correlation v. Causality in Algeria & Occam’s Razor

2018/09/13

Questions about changes in Algeria's security services are justified. The changes have been extensive; they occur at a time of political sensitivity, with the president having recently been out of the country for medical care; the economy is only just beginning to find its footing after the “lower-for-longer” oil price environment; and the security situation in surrounding countries is deteriorating. The military and the security services are the country’s cornerstone. So, to tinker with them at this time causes understandable agita.

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NARCO CLOSEHOLD: Mauritania

2018/08/14

You're going to want to read this one...

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NARCO RoundUp (JUL18)

2018/08/01

July was topsy-turvy in North Africa with changes all around. Whether those changes amount to anything or they simply mark time is another question entirely. In Algeria, the security services were extensively overhauled. In Libya, more of the same: no political process; terrorism; spikey oil production. In Mauritania, Ould Abdelaziz’s term is coming to an end, the security situation is more dire, and oil activity is ramping up.

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