NARCO ANALYSIS: Algeria Russia France


Two days after it was announced that Algerian President Tebboune would make a state visit to France in May, there are reports in French media that the trip has been postponed. Algerian officials are mum. Mais n’importe quoi. The significance of the announcement remains.

NARCO ANALYSIS: Morocco Succession Planning


King Mohammed VI is back in Morocco to observe the Holy Month of Ramadan after having spent the last five weeks in seclusion in Gabon.

NARCO ANALYSIS: Mauritania Terrorists' Prison Break


Per the Mauritanian Ministry of Interior, the evening of 5 March, Mauritania suffered its first “terrorist attack” in 12 years. Four prisoners linked to the Islamic State and al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) escaped the Central Prison in Nouakchott late Sunday evening.

NARCO ANALYSIS: Tunisia Turns Toward the Worst


Tunisia’s economic circumstances were cataclysmic. President Kais Saied had eviscerated state institutions and gutted civil society. He had consolidated all control in the presidency, adopting an authoritarian “l'État, c'est moi” attitude.

NARCO ANALYSIS: Something's Up and Going Down in Algeria


President Abdelmadjid Tebboune is pissed. He’s in the home stretch of his first presidential term and things are not going as smoothly as he wants. Something’s up in Algeria and something’s going down.



Some Algerian decisionmakers recognize that current circumstances present Algeria with unprecedented opportunities. In order to seize those opportunities, it needs to dispel the fantasies and fears that persist about Algeria and show that it is in many ways a normal country.

NARCO ANALYSIS: Tunisia's Commercial Calamity


So, the legislative elections orchestrated by President Kais Saied on 17 December were a bust. 8% participation rate. Near total rejection of Saied’s power grab. No big surprise.But parallel to Tunisia’s descent into the political morass is an unfolding commercial calamity. Tunisia’s foreign direct investment is slowing to a trickle and is even showing signs of reversing.

NARCO ANALYSIS: Algeria's Energy Stars Align


Algeria is potentially planning an oil and gas licensing round for spring 2023. The timing might just be right for Algeria to knock the cover off the ball. Algeria’s last licensing round was in September 2014, and it was a massive flop. But that was years ago and a world away.

NARCO ANALYSIS: Algeria and the New Energy War


Someone has blown up the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines. Norway is deploying its Navy to protect offshore oil and gas installations. Worries about the vulnerability of the two-day old Baltic Pipe Project are increasing. And Algeria is sitting pretty.

NARCO ANALYSIS: The Battle for Algiers


These days everyone is engaging with Algeria. They all want something. But what they want is not the same. Sixty years after the first one ended, there’s a new battle for Algiers.



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